Scattered Brilliance

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Archive for mvn

Red Sox podcast Episode #3 at MVN

Paul and I recorded episode 3 of  our Fireside Chats Red Sox podcast at MVN last night.  If you want to check it out here’s the link and the audio is embedded below.

I also completed my Wisdom of Crowds Red Sox 2008 player projections.  The results and my thoughts can be found on MVN as well.

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New post up at MVN.com’s UConn beat

I’ve been writing about UConn over at MVN.com’s UConn blog, Husky Connection.  Here’s a teaser for the March Madness preview that I wrote that will appear in the upcoming March issue of Roster Magazine as well as on MVN.

Editor’s Note: The following article will appear in the March Issue of Roster Magazine as well as MVN’s Basketball U column.

Connecticut Huskies
21-5 (10-3 Big East)
RPI: #11
Projected Seed: #2-4

Seed Explanation
Sitting at 11-5 and 2-3 in the Big East on January 17th after a home loss to Providence, UConn fans were more often left with thoughts of how they stacked up against other potential bubble teams than how they stacked up against the nation’s best. But a ten game winning streak including wins against four top twenty-five ranked teams (Marquette, @Indiana, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame) change all that.

Now sitting a only ½ game back of Georgetown and Louisville in the conference, the Huskies look to take advantage of a stretch run of five conference opponents with a combined Big East record of 27-40 as the make a serious bid at the regular season Big East crown and the #1 seed in Madison Square Garden where past national champion UConn teams have begun their run.

With a strong overall schedule (SOS: #11), a Husky regular season and Big East tournament championship could easily mean a #2 seed (from where Ben Gordon and Emeka Okafor led the Huskies to their last national title.

Looking at the upcoming schedule and the possibility of returning Jerome Dyson to the lineup for the stretch run, it is hard to foresee the Huskies slipping below a #4 seed in the dance without a meltdown of catastrophic proportions.

You can read the rest here: Husky Connection at MVN

New post up at MVN.com’s Red Sox beat

You can check it here:  http://mvn.com/mlb-redsox/2008/02/19/2008-red-sox-for-better-or-worse/

Here’s a little teaser:

So with a better lineup and a less dominant pitching staff, where does that leave the Red Sox next season? In the chart above, I turned to Pythagorean Win Expectancy and plugged in my runs scored and runs against ballparks to settle in with 98 wins. You can also see Baseball Prospectus’ slightly more scientific run +/- predictions and outcome using PECOTA numbers.

Realistically, I think Pythagoras does us a bit wrong here and overestimates wins based on this input, but I do think that PECOTA short changes the team by a few wins. So for my final answer, “for better or worse”, I think the 2008 team is every bit as good as the 2007 version.

My gut: About the same. While Pythagoras has me at 98 wins, that feels aggressive, but I think back to back 96 win seasons and A.L. East banners sound pretty good to me. So mark it down. 96-66, 1st place in the American League East, 2nd best record in baseball behind the New York Mets.

Tim Daloisio: Media Mogul

The Daloisio Express is off and rolling! I’ve got new posts up at MVN’s Red Sox and UConn blogs as well as an online radio show appearance booked for tomorrow night.

– Fire Brand of the American League: 2008 Red Sox Bullpen: For Better or Worse
– Husky Connection: It’s all about tempo and we’ve got Tha-beet

    My Husky column is currently being featured on the front page of MVN’s NCAA section.

    I’ll be speaking with the hosts of “On the Field with Colin and Durden” over at BlogTalkRadio live tomorrow at 9:55 pm. You can find the link here to listen live or to hit up the archive of the event the following morning.

    New post up at MVN.com

    My analysis of the 2008 Red Sox starting rotation is up and can be found at MVN’s Fire Brand of the American League.  I must say that even with Curt Schilling’s injury, I think this team is, as currently constituted, very similar to last year’s rotation.  But I also fully expect them to be active in making a move to upgrade the “Tavarez” spot in the rotation and/or give Clay Buchholz a little more time off than he might currently be allowed.

    Husky Connection

    I’ve decided to extend my blogging at MVN past just Red Sox coverage and am going to try my hand once a week or so at blogging UCONN basketball at their Huskies blog Husky Connection.

    I’ve also added an RSS widget to the sidebar all the way to the right here pointing to my MVN writings for both the Red Sox and Huskies.

    My first post at MVN.com’s Red Sox blog

    Tim at MVN.com

    My first post over at MVN.com’s Red Sox blog “Fire Brand of the American League” is up and live.  I take a look at the Red Sox infield heading into 2008 and see how they measure up to the 2007 standard that brought the Red Sox a championship.

    I enter this next stage in writing about the Red Sox with mixed emotions.  It’s sad for me to give the Red Sox Times up, but I can’t commit to that level of management with everything else going on.  Writing for MVN gives me an outlet to fuel my passion for baseball writing and analysis on a much more structured and less all encompassing basis and with a legit top tier grassroots journalism site at that.

    In fact, Peter Gammons recently called Fire Brand and MVN out in a blog post of his own saying;

    “It’s amazing how many club officials read…Fire Brand of the American League.”

    So, I am in good company and good hands for the 2008 season.  You can look for my posts on Friday’s and Tuesday’s for the next month and then once a week at least during the season.

    Lastly, I’d like to thank Evan Brunell who founded MVN.com and writes for the Fire Brand of the American League for the honor of joining his team.  So thanks!